
Voting for the Liberal Party seems clustered in the districts with the highest shares of voters who declare Moldovan or Romanian ethnicity: Calarasi, Nisporeni, Straseni, Hinceni, Ialoveni, Chisinau.
Some additional comments based on geo-statistical analysis:
1. At this level of analysis, the highest spatial competition was between the PCRM and the PDM (Moran’s I = 0.27). They both have higher shares in the Northern districts: Briceni, Edinet, Riscani, Glodeni, Falesti, Ocnita, Donduseni, Drochia, Balti and Sangerei.
2. PLDM and PNL are in spatial competition; it is low but it exists (0.11). The districts of higher territorial competition are the ones in the centre of the country: Orhei, Calarasi, Ungheni, Nisporeni, Straseni, Chisinau, Ialoveni, Hincesti.
3. PCRM and PLDM have distinct territorial profiles. The only district they both get high shares of votes is Leova.
4. PDM and PNL have also distinct territorial profiles. However, they fight each other in three districts: Hincesti, Nisporeni and Calarasi.
Quantile map of the PNL votes at the early elections of November 28th elections (Moldova)
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